Pillar 04 · Applied ML & Predictive Intelligence

Applied machine learning and predictive intelligence for operating decisions

An agent is only as good as the judgement it can call on. When the decision is numerical how much to make, which transaction to hold, which machine to service first a purpose-built model beats a language model every time. We build those models, and we build them to survive contact with production.

Applied ML & Predictive Intelligence Hero
The Situation

A promising notebook produces a strong backtest, then never ships. Or it ships, drifts quietly for six months, and nobody notices until the forecast is wrong in a way that costs real money.

The Deliverable

A deployed model with monitored inputs, tracked drift, a documented retraining trigger, and a clear line from its output to a decision somebody actually makes.

In Production

Core use cases

Supply Chain

Demand & risk forecasting

SKU-level forecasts with explicit uncertainty ranges, so planners can see where the model is confident and where it is guessing.

Risk & Fraud

Anomaly & fraud scoring

Scores transactions and events in real time against learned normal behaviour, tuned to your tolerance for false positives.

Manufacturing

Predictive maintenance

Uses sensor and maintenance history to flag equipment likely to fail inside a defined window, so servicing is scheduled rather than reactive.

Commercial

Recommendation engine

Ranks products, offers or next-best actions from behavioural signals, with guardrails on margin and inventory.

Tech Stack

How it works

We are deliberately unromantic about tooling. These are the components that have survived production across our deployments chosen because they work under load and can be handed over, not because they are new. The panel alongside shows the kind of interface this pillar actually produces.

  • Time-series forecasting with uncertainty quantification
  • Gradient boosting, deep learning and classical statistical models
  • Feature stores and reproducible training pipelines
  • Drift monitoring and automated retraining triggers
  • Model explainability for regulated decisions
Answers

Common questions

Because they solve different problems. A language model is remarkable at reading, reasoning over text and calling tools, and unreliable at precise numerical prediction. Forecasting next quarter's demand or scoring fraud risk needs a model trained on your own historical data. In a well-built agent the language model orchestrates and explains; the predictive model supplies the number.

Have a candidate process in mind?

Send us the shape of it. We will come back with whether this pillar is the right fit, a realistic timeline, and what it would be scoped as.